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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 1,802.94 (+3.8%) | 4.8 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 24% ±7 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±7 | 40% ±14 | 60% ±21 | 4.3d | 2.29% | 1.84% | 825 → 20 | |
| 7D POC | 1,771.73 (+2.0%) | 2.5 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.7d ago · 103× | 46% ±13 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 112 | 12% ±4 | 45% ±13 | 62% ±22 | 71% ±31 | 1.3d | 2.15% | 1.46% | 319 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,760.92–1,774.44 (+1.4%) | 1.7 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 7.4d ago · 82× | 59% ±13 | 54% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 26% ±9 | 93 | 23% ±4 | 58% ±13 | 72% ±20 | 77% ±29 | 16h | 2.06% | 1.64% | 352 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 1,742.8–1,744.03 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.3% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 69× | 87% ±13 | 50% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 66 | 69% ±7 | 87% ±13 | 90% ±19 | 94% ±24 | 1h | 2.16% | 1.37% | 157 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,737.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,726.64 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 74% ±12 | 57% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 98 | 51% ±5 | 73% ±12 | 85% ±17 | 89% ±21 | 4h | 2.42% | 1.48% | 325 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,652.79–1,676.45 (-3.5%) | 4.5 | 3.0% | 1.4d | 2.4d ago · 84× | 30% ±10 | 45% ±10 | 22% ±8 | 33% ±9 | 104 | 5% ±2 | 30% ±10 | 55% ±19 | 70% ±27 | 2.2d | 1.92% | 1.72% | 446 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,598.73–1,605.48 (-7.6%) | 9.7 | 1.1% | 5h | 14.1d ago · 46× | 5% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±14 | 24% ±26 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.78% | 403 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,573.38–1,573.69 (-9.4%) | 12 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 98 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±12 | 31% ±27 | > 7d | 2.15% | 1.53% | 467 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,548.04 (-10.9%) | 14 | 1.1% | 4h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 25% ±18 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 941 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,517.31 (-12.7%) | 16 | 0.1% | 12m | 4.9d ago · 58× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±10 | 27% ±22 | > 7d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 657 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 1,737.4 | 1,573.69 | 1,783.39 | expired | -0.28% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 1,737.4 | 1,573.38 | 1,779.31 | expired | -0.28% |