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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,411 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.17 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 1,860.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 1,823.68–1,831.33 (-1.6%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 64× | 63% ±17 | 46% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 61 | 23% ±6 | 63% ±17 | 77% ±26 | 87% ±33 | 15h | 1.85% | 1.89% | 177 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 1,728.07–1,802.85 (-3.1%) | 3.7 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 84× | 36% ±11 | 47% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 32% ±9 | 108 | 7% ±2 | 36% ±11 | 63% ±19 | 74% ±26 | 1.5d | 1.93% | 1.63% | 442 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 1,772.58–1,782.73 (-4.2%) | 5.0 | 4.6% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 25% ±10 | 49% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 41% ±8 | 135 | 5% ±2 | 25% ±10 | 48% ±20 | 68% ±28 | 3.3d | 2.14% | 1.42% | 441 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,751.07 (-5.9%) | 7.0 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 13% ±5 | 58% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 99 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 33% ±13 | 50% ±21 | 6.7d | 2.51% | 1.48% | 915 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,727.12 (-7.2%) | 8.5 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 4.9d ago · 58× | 9% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 29% ±13 | 51% ±22 | 6.5d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 852 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 1,674.66–1,681.78 (-9.6%) | 11 | 1.2% | 4h | 14.1d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 7% ±10 | 18% ±24 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.78% | 432 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,635.49 (-12.1%) | 14 | 1.2% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±8 | 24% ±17 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 965 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 1,860.7 | 1,933.31 | 1,775.02 | expired | +3.55% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 1,860.7 | 1,959.21 | 1,782.73 | expired | +3.55% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 1,860.7 | 2,056.54 | 1,772.58 | expired | +3.55% |