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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-23 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 1,922.92–1,927.4 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 2.7% | 1.2d | 7.2d ago · 82× | 68% ±12 | 56% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 96 | 36% ±5 | 68% ±12 | 80% ±18 | 83% ±24 | 9h | 2.06% | 1.56% | 363 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,922.8 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 2.7% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 97× | 62% ±12 | 51% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±10 | 97 | 37% ±5 | 62% ±12 | 78% ±18 | 89% ±20 | 10h | 2.29% | 1.69% | 374 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,906.39 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 88% ±13 | 53% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±11 | 71 | 74% ±7 | 88% ±13 | 92% ±19 | 94% ±23 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.32% | 147 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,903.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,864.7–1,878.13 (-1.3%) | 1.8 | 2.6% | 19h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 57% ±13 | 48% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 31% ±9 | 110 | 24% ±5 | 57% ±13 | 75% ±19 | 85% ±25 | 18h | 1.95% | 1.58% | 343 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,870.45–1,873.38 (-1.6%) | 2.1 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 52% ±13 | 49% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 136 | 20% ±4 | 52% ±13 | 69% ±20 | 82% ±27 | 21h | 2.04% | 1.42% | 351 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,819.65 (-4.4%) | 6.0 | 1.4% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 84× | 17% ±6 | 58% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±13 | 54% ±20 | 5.5d | 2.52% | 1.46% | 970 → 23 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,810.95 (-4.9%) | 6.6 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 38× | 8% ±9 | 40% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 48% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 31% ±26 | 51% ±44 | 6.8d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 224 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,765.25 (-7.3%) | 9.8 | 2.4% | 20h | 4.7d ago · 58× | 6% ±4 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±12 | 45% ±21 | > 7d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 908 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 1,667.63–1,725.85 (-9.3%) | 13 | 0.9% | 4h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 14% ±21 | > 7d | 2.35% | 1.78% | 427 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 1,575.81 (-17.2%) | 23 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±2 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 10% ±20 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.37% | 380 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,519.83 (-20.2%) | 27 | 0.2% | 19m | 20.5d ago · 30× | 1% ±1 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±16 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 588 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 1,903.5 | 1,870.45 | 1,941.37 | target | +1.66% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 1,903.5 | 1,873.38 | 1,931.8 | target | +1.66% |