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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-24 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 1,945.46–1,946.25 (+4.0%) | 6.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 14% ±5 | 51% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 98 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±5 | 33% ±13 | 50% ±20 | 6.5d | 2.22% | 1.58% | 958 → 23 | |
| 7D POC | 1,925.15 (+2.9%) | 4.5 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 103× | 21% ±10 | 48% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 117 | 4% ±2 | 21% ±10 | 40% ±20 | 54% ±31 | 5.5d | 2.11% | 1.46% | 408 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,922.92–1,927.4 (+2.8%) | 4.3 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 7.2d ago · 82× | 25% ±9 | 56% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 96 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±9 | 43% ±18 | 55% ±27 | 4.8d | 2.06% | 1.56% | 531 → 13 | |
| 14D POC | 1,873.47 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 23h | 3.5d ago · 78× | 94% ±7 | 37% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 88 | 81% ±5 | 94% ±7 | 95% ±11 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.03% | 1.32% | 239 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,870.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,860.29 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 1.5% | 14h | 4.5d ago · 84× | 72% ±12 | 58% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 100 | 50% ±5 | 72% ±12 | 84% ±17 | 88% ±22 | 5h | 2.52% | 1.46% | 345 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAL | 1,819.2–1,819.91 (-2.7%) | 4.2 | 1.2% | 10h | 4.7d ago · 58× | 23% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 51% ±12 | 63 | 4% ±1 | 23% ±8 | 48% ±17 | 67% ±24 | 3.4d | 1.99% | 1.79% | 622 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 1,743.77–1,801.99 (-3.7%) | 5.6 | 2.2% | 19h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 21% ±9 | 48% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 31% ±9 | 110 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 58% ±28 | 4.5d | 1.95% | 1.58% | 496 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 1,654.19–1,721.37 (-8.0%) | 12 | 0.6% | 3h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 15% ±22 | > 7d | 2.35% | 1.78% | 430 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 1,575.81 (-15.8%) | 24 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±2 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 10% ±19 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.37% | 368 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,519.83 (-18.8%) | 29 | 0.2% | 17m | 20.5d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 10% ±16 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 535 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,870.66 | 1,819.2 | 1,945.46 | expired | +0.60% |