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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-25 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 1,937.68 (+3.5%) | 13 | 0.6% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 4% ±3 | 53% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 72 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±10 | 27% ±19 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.32% | 905 → 22 | |
| HVN zone | 1,922.92–1,927.4 (+2.8%) | 9.9 | 1.1% | 12h | 7.2d ago · 82× | 7% ±5 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 97 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±26 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.56% | 494 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,922.51 (+2.7%) | 9.9 | 1.1% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±3 | 50% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 45% ±10 | 98 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±10 | 29% ±20 | > 7d | 2.28% | 1.76% | 830 → 20 | |
| 14D POC | 1,873.4 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.5% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 78× | 93% ±7 | 37% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 49% ±10 | 89 | 77% ±5 | 94% ±7 | 95% ±11 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 2.02% | 1.32% | 262 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,871.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,868.14 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 1.3% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 106× | 87% ±8 | 51% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 41% ±8 | 137 | 71% ±4 | 87% ±8 | 92% ±11 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 2.13% | 1.28% | 409 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 1,850.02–1,851.26 (-1.1%) | 3.8 | 0.5% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 84× | 28% ±7 | 54% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 38% ±9 | 101 | 5% ±1 | 28% ±7 | 53% ±14 | 66% ±21 | 2.6d | 2.27% | 1.45% | 849 → 20 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,838.62 (-1.7%) | 6.3 | 0.4% | 4h | 4.7d ago · 58× | 13% ±6 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 36% ±14 | 59% ±22 | 4.9d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 836 → 20 | |
| HVN zone | 1,743.77–1,801.99 (-3.7%) | 13 | 1.0% | 8h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 3% ±4 | 48% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 31% ±9 | 111 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±14 | 19% ±26 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.62% | 359 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 1,712.42–1,716.89 (-8.2%) | 30 | 0.2% | 1h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 1% ±6 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 6% ±33 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 1,575.81 (-15.8%) | 57 | 1.6% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 10% ±29 | 11% ±44 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.37% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,515.35 (-19.0%) | 68 | <0.1% | 3m | 20.5d ago · 30× | 1% ±7 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 7% ±26 | 12% ±45 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 69 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,871.26 | 1,838.62 | 1,937.68 | expired | -2.22% |