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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 1,967.06 (+4.8%) | 5.2 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 22% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±10 | 99 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 40% ±13 | 58% ±21 | 4.5d | 2.27% | 1.84% | 913 → 22 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,955.9 (+4.2%) | 4.5 | 1.0% | 4h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 24% ±11 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±11 | 44% ±22 | 62% ±34 | 3.8d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 341 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 1,925.63–1,929.89 (+2.5%) | 2.8 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 2.1d ago · 103× | 43% ±13 | 49% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 12% ±3 | 43% ±13 | 63% ±22 | 74% ±31 | 1.4d | 2.12% | 1.41% | 348 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,916.75–1,934.15 (+2.1%) | 2.3 | 2.7% | 23h | 7.1d ago · 82× | 49% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 26% ±9 | 98 | 15% ±4 | 49% ±12 | 65% ±20 | 72% ±29 | 1.0d | 2.00% | 1.56% | 396 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,889.64 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 2.9% | 15h | 4.6d ago · 56× | 88% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 57 | 69% ±7 | 88% ±13 | 91% ±20 | 93% ±24 | 1h | 2.05% | 1.71% | 151 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,877.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,874.65–1,875.43 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.0% | 1.9d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 90% ±9 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 101 | 77% ±5 | 90% ±9 | 94% ±12 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 2.18% | 1.51% | 264 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,840.25 (-2.0%) | 2.2 | 1.5% | 20h | 4.6d ago · 58× | 35% ±12 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 12% ±3 | 35% ±12 | 53% ±22 | 68% ±32 | 2.7d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 356 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,760.15–1,803.65 (-3.9%) | 4.3 | 3.1% | 23h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 30% ±10 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 30% ±9 | 112 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±10 | 57% ±18 | 70% ±26 | 2.0d | 1.95% | 1.58% | 500 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,742.75 (-7.2%) | 7.8 | 3.2% | 22h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 7% ±4 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±12 | 36% ±22 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 768 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 1,707.95–1,721 (-8.4%) | 9.1 | 0.8% | 4h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 5% ±5 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±13 | 23% ±26 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 438 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 1,877.8 | 1,800.38 | 1,925.63 | stop | -2.05% |