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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-28 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 1,967.06 (+4.0%) | 4.7 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 25% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±10 | 99 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 64% ±21 | 3.8d | 2.27% | 1.84% | 878 → 21 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,955.9 (+3.4%) | 4.0 | 0.9% | 4h | 19.0d ago · 44× | 29% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±13 | 50% ±24 | 69% ±34 | 3.1d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 297 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 1,925.63–1,929.93 (+1.8%) | 2.1 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 2.2d ago · 103× | 53% ±14 | 49% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 18% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 70% ±22 | 79% ±30 | 22h | 2.12% | 1.41% | 312 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 1,916.75–1,934.15 (+1.3%) | 1.6 | 2.5% | 21h | 7.2d ago · 82× | 61% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 26% ±9 | 98 | 28% ±5 | 61% ±12 | 74% ±19 | 79% ±27 | 14h | 2.00% | 1.56% | 361 → 9 | |
| at post · 1,891.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,860.2–1,890.65 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 13h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 91% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 30% ±9 | 112 | 79% ±5 | 91% ±9 | 94% ±13 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.58% | 233 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,878.76–1,882.84 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 4.4% | 1.6d | 1.2d ago · 84× | 83% ±10 | 53% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 101 | 64% ±5 | 83% ±10 | 90% ±14 | 93% ±18 | 2h | 2.30% | 1.48% | 347 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,852.73 (-2.1%) | 2.4 | 1.8% | 14h | 4.7d ago · 58× | 33% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 9% ±3 | 33% ±11 | 53% ±21 | 68% ±29 | 2.7d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 400 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,747.1 (-7.6%) | 9.0 | 3.0% | 21h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 5% ±4 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 34% ±21 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 856 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 1,707.95–1,721 (-9.0%) | 11 | 0.8% | 4h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 9% ±11 | 19% ±23 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 463 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 1,891.59 | 1,925.63 | 1,867.69 | stop | +0.68% |
| 14d | POC | long | 1,891.59 | 1,929.93 | 1,852.73 | expired | +0.68% |
| 30d | POC | long | 1,891.59 | 1,955.9 | 1,747.1 | expired | +0.68% |