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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-29 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,956.03 (+2.2%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 4h | 19.0d ago · 44× | 47% ±18 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 14% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 65% ±28 | 84% ±32 | 1.2d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 192 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,938.53–1,944.3 (+1.3%) | 1.4 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 64% ±12 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 100 | 36% ±5 | 64% ±12 | 77% ±18 | 87% ±22 | 9h | 2.22% | 1.58% | 377 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.85 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 3.5d ago · 78× | 94% ±7 | 37% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 49% ±10 | 90 | 76% ±5 | 94% ±7 | 95% ±11 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.32% | 264 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,914.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,860.8–1,891.1 (-1.2%) | 1.3 | 3.3% | 15h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 71% ±12 | 48% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 31% ±9 | 113 | 41% ±5 | 71% ±12 | 82% ±17 | 88% ±21 | 7h | 1.94% | 1.62% | 362 → 9 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,867.09–1,880.81 (-1.8%) | 1.9 | 5.7% | 2.0d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 44% ±10 | 52% ±8 | 7% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 139 | 15% ±3 | 44% ±10 | 64% ±16 | 75% ±22 | 1.6d | 2.31% | 1.45% | 611 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,756.92 (-8.2%) | 8.9 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 20.6d ago · 30× | 5% ±4 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±21 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 853 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 1,704.98–1,717.97 (-10.3%) | 11 | 0.8% | 4h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±10 | 18% ±23 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 466 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,914.43 | 1,867.09 | 1,944.3 | expired | +0.01% |