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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,954.99 (+5.0%) | 7.3 | 0.7% | 3h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 9% ±5 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±14 | 46% ±24 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 676 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,929.46–1,931.75 (+3.6%) | 5.3 | 3.2% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 19% ±6 | 53% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 42% ±10 | 102 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 57% ±21 | 5.2d | 2.31% | 1.53% | 939 → 22 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,916.66–1,922.14 (+3.0%) | 4.3 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 20% ±9 | 44% ±9 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±9 | 120 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 38% ±19 | 50% ±31 | 4.9d | 2.07% | 1.40% | 427 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,904.83–1,931.84 (+2.3%) | 3.4 | 2.9% | 19h | 7.1d ago · 82× | 34% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 100 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 53% ±18 | 62% ±27 | 2.5d | 2.00% | 1.55% | 517 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 1,879.75 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 3.7d ago · 66× | 74% ±15 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 69 | 43% ±7 | 74% ±15 | 89% ±18 | 94% ±21 | 6h | 1.95% | 1.25% | 208 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,863.76–1,868.84 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.6d ago · 56× | 89% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 73% ±7 | 89% ±12 | 93% ±18 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.75% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 1,861.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,769.78–1,800.65 (-3.3%) | 4.8 | 2.6% | 22h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 26% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 115 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±9 | 51% ±19 | 64% ±27 | 2.8d | 1.94% | 1.54% | 510 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,777.49 (-4.5%) | 6.6 | 3.2% | 24h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 9% ±5 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 25% ±14 | 39% ±24 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 687 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 1,627.01–1,688.75 (-9.3%) | 14 | 0.3% | 49m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±18 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 442 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 1,861.64 | 1,793.65 | 1,922.14 | expired | +1.30% |