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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,948.36 (+3.6%) | 8.1 | 0.8% | 4h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 7% ±5 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 23% ±13 | 45% ±23 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 741 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,930.36–1,931.97 (+2.7%) | 6.0 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 15% ±6 | 53% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 42% ±10 | 102 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±5 | 34% ±13 | 52% ±20 | 6.6d | 2.31% | 1.52% | 975 → 23 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.48 (+2.2%) | 4.9 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 78× | 16% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 29% ±21 | 38% ±34 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.32% | 332 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 1,915.02 (+1.9%) | 4.2 | 2.5% | 19h | 3.5d ago · 103× | 24% ±10 | 48% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 44% ±20 | 58% ±31 | 4.4d | 2.11% | 1.46% | 427 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,911.91–1,931.53 (+1.7%) | 3.8 | 2.0% | 14h | 7.2d ago · 82× | 29% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 100 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 49% ±18 | 58% ±27 | 3.3d | 2.00% | 1.55% | 531 → 13 | |
| at post · 1,880.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 1,876.86 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 85% ±12 | 52% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 81 | 71% ±6 | 85% ±12 | 92% ±16 | 94% ±22 | 1h | 2.51% | 1.33% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,864.19–1,865.8 (-0.8%) | 1.7 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 49% ±11 | 53% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 104 | 22% ±4 | 49% ±11 | 68% ±18 | 78% ±25 | 1.2d | 2.40% | 1.59% | 450 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,830.6–1,839.01 (-2.2%) | 4.9 | 0.8% | 8h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 25% ±12 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±12 | 45% ±24 | 53% ±37 | 5.5d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 296 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,788.54 (-4.9%) | 11 | 2.1% | 15h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 29% ±19 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 977 → 23 | |
| HVN zone | 1,771.72–1,788.54 (-4.9%) | 11 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 4% ±5 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±14 | 24% ±27 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 428 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 1,880.23 | 1,948.36 | 1,788.54 | expired | -1.39% |