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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,949.65 (+4.1%) | 7.0 | 0.9% | 4h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 10% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±14 | 46% ±24 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 655 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,927.13–1,930.36 (+2.9%) | 4.9 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 97× | 21% ±7 | 53% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 42% ±10 | 102 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 41% ±14 | 60% ±21 | 4.5d | 2.31% | 1.52% | 900 → 21 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,918.25–1,921.48 (+2.4%) | 4.1 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 23% ±10 | 44% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 46% ±9 | 121 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±20 | 52% ±31 | 4.2d | 2.08% | 1.40% | 429 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,911.92–1,930.79 (+2.1%) | 3.6 | 2.7% | 19h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 32% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 100 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 51% ±18 | 60% ±27 | 2.9d | 2.00% | 1.55% | 527 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,878.22 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 3.7d ago · 66× | 86% ±12 | 40% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 70 | 70% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.93% | 1.25% | 214 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,873.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,862.57–1,864.19 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 70% ±12 | 53% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 105 | 50% ±5 | 70% ±12 | 79% ±18 | 84% ±25 | 4h | 2.40% | 1.60% | 353 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 1,828.36–1,839.14 (-1.8%) | 3.1 | 1.1% | 11h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 42% ±15 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 10% ±4 | 41% ±15 | 60% ±26 | 63% ±39 | 1.7d | 2.35% | 1.78% | 256 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,796.01 (-4.1%) | 7.0 | 2.6% | 22h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 8% ±5 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 23% ±13 | 38% ±23 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 725 → 17 | |
| HVN zone | 1,774.45–1,787.92 (-4.5%) | 7.8 | 2.8% | 20h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 9% ±6 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±16 | 38% ±28 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 486 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 1,873.02 | 1,796.01 | 1,949.65 | expired | +1.20% |