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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-03 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,946.96 (+4.4%) | 6.3 | 1.3% | 7h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 12% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 27% ±16 | 48% ±27 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 563 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,936.81 (+3.8%) | 5.5 | 2.5% | 14h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 16% ±7 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 37% ±15 | 56% ±24 | 5.8d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 703 → 17 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 1,916.33–1,925.03 (+2.7%) | 3.9 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 103× | 25% ±7 | 47% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±9 | 121 | 4% ±1 | 25% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 59% ±21 | 3.7d | 2.16% | 1.49% | 879 → 21 | |
| HVN zone | 1,911.92–1,930.79 (+2.5%) | 3.6 | 3.2% | 22h | 7.1d ago · 82× | 32% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 101 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 51% ±18 | 60% ±27 | 2.9d | 1.96% | 1.56% | 531 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,878.22 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 5.8% | 2.0d | 3.8d ago · 66× | 84% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 46% ±12 | 71 | 62% ±6 | 84% ±11 | 93% ±13 | 96% ±17 | 2h | 1.91% | 1.25% | 264 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,865.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,864.19–1,864.79 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.8% | 1.9d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 89% ±11 | 52% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 105 | 75% ±6 | 89% ±11 | 91% ±18 | 92% ±26 | 1h | 2.40% | 1.62% | 181 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 1,831.05–1,836.44 (-1.6%) | 2.2 | 1.5% | 11h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 55% ±16 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 19% ±5 | 56% ±16 | 70% ±26 | 75% ±38 | 19h | 2.35% | 1.78% | 214 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,798.71 (-3.6%) | 5.1 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 20.5d ago · 30× | 13% ±7 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 32% ±16 | 46% ±26 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 572 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,774.45–1,785.23 (-4.3%) | 6.2 | 3.3% | 24h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 17% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 3% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 37% ±18 | 50% ±27 | 6.3d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 526 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 1,865.51 | 1,916.33 | 1,853.94 | stop | +0.19% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 1,865.51 | 1,921.48 | 1,851.11 | stop | +0.19% |