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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-05 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,946.96 (+4.5%) | 7.1 | 1.2% | 6h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 9% ±5 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 45% ±24 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 677 → 16 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,922.29 (+3.2%) | 5.0 | 4.6% | 1.6d | 2.0d ago · 69× | 18% ±7 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±7 | 39% ±16 | 61% ±25 | 4.8d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 641 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 1,906.53–1,933.48 (+2.3%) | 3.7 | 2.8% | 17h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 31% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 102 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±10 | 49% ±18 | 58% ±27 | 3.2d | 1.96% | 1.55% | 540 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,905.26 (+2.3%) | 3.6 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 34% ±8 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 6% ±2 | 34% ±8 | 54% ±15 | 73% ±20 | 2.3d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 764 → 18 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 1,868.22–1,872.83 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 5.9% | 2.5d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 89% ±8 | 43% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 121 | 72% ±5 | 89% ±8 | 93% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.36% | 369 → 9 | |
| at post · 1,863.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 1,852.89 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 2.7% | 17h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 68% ±14 | 42% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 68 | 52% ±6 | 68% ±14 | 74% ±24 | 79% ±33 | 4h | 2.19% | 1.86% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,841.48 (-1.2%) | 1.8 | 1.9% | 22h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 52% ±11 | 58% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 107 | 25% ±4 | 52% ±11 | 73% ±17 | 81% ±23 | 20h | 2.33% | 1.44% | 455 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,831.05–1,836.44 (-1.4%) | 2.2 | 1.4% | 10h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 56% ±16 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 18% ±5 | 55% ±16 | 69% ±26 | 75% ±38 | 19h | 2.34% | 1.73% | 222 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,809.49 (-2.9%) | 4.5 | 1.4% | 8h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 18% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 37% ±18 | 49% ±28 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 507 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,863.09 | 1,841.48 | 1,905.26 | stop | -2.49% |
| 14d | POC | short | 1,863.09 | 1,852.89 | 1,922.29 | stop | -2.49% |