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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 1,927.09–1,934.47 (+2.8%) | 5.2 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 97× | 18% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 104 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 36% ±13 | 55% ±20 | 5.8d | 2.14% | 1.49% | 986 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,915.99–1,916.69 (+2.2%) | 4.1 | 6.1% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 103× | 23% ±10 | 43% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 123 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±10 | 42% ±20 | 56% ±31 | 4.9d | 2.06% | 1.40% | 432 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,902.44–1,928.18 (+1.5%) | 2.7 | 3.7% | 1.0d | 7.1d ago · 82× | 43% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 104 | 12% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 61% ±18 | 70% ±26 | 1.4d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 489 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,875.71 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 6.6% | 2.2d | 4.6d ago · 56× | 93% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 42% ±12 | 61 | 80% ±7 | 93% ±11 | 93% ±19 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 1.97% | 1.55% | 125 → 3 | |
| at post · 1,874.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 1,869.57–1,873.19 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 6.9% | 2.4d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 84% ±13 | 48% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 84 | 70% ±7 | 84% ±13 | 88% ±19 | 90% ±26 | 2h | 2.37% | 1.52% | 189 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,855.64 (-1.0%) | 1.8 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 20.5d ago · 30× | 51% ±17 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 20% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 62% ±27 | 71% ±40 | 23h | 2.88% | 1.47% | 208 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 1,811.18–1,813.52 (-3.2%) | 5.9 | 0.6% | 3h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 18% ±10 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 18% ±10 | 33% ±21 | 41% ±34 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 350 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 1,874.28 | 1,916.69 | 1,859.21 | stop | +0.40% |
| 30d | POC | long | 1,874.28 | 1,930.52 | 1,855.64 | stop | +0.40% |