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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 1,923.5–1,926.66 (+1.8%) | 3.6 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 1.3d ago · 97× | 31% ±8 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 104 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 52% ±14 | 70% ±20 | 2.7d | 2.14% | 1.49% | 841 → 20 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,915.31–1,915.46 (+1.3%) | 2.8 | 5.6% | 2.2d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 42% ±12 | 42% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 124 | 12% ±3 | 43% ±12 | 63% ±21 | 72% ±29 | 1.5d | 2.07% | 1.39% | 365 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 1,902.44–1,928.18 (+0.7%) | 1.4 | 3.6% | 23h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 69% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 104 | 39% ±5 | 70% ±11 | 81% ±16 | 84% ±24 | 7h | 1.95% | 1.55% | 392 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,890.35 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 17h | 4.5d ago · 56× | 93% ±11 | 48% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±12 | 62 | 79% ±7 | 93% ±11 | 93% ±19 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 1.85% | 1.55% | 123 → 3 | |
| at post · 1,889.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 1,873.19 (-0.9%) | 1.8 | 6.7% | 2.3d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 61% ±16 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 85 | 25% ±6 | 60% ±16 | 76% ±24 | 84% ±32 | 16h | 2.50% | 1.27% | 218 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,868.34 (-1.1%) | 2.3 | 6.2% | 2.4d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 35% ±12 | 44% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 70 | 11% ±3 | 35% ±11 | 55% ±21 | 69% ±29 | 2.4d | 2.19% | 1.79% | 401 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,855.64 (-1.8%) | 3.7 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 20.4d ago · 30× | 25% ±10 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 5% ±2 | 25% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 50% ±30 | 6.8d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 448 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,792.46–1,815.86 (-3.9%) | 8.0 | 0.3% | 34m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 7% ±6 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±14 | 25% ±26 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 441 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 1,889.84 | 1,853.53 | 1,915.31 | expired | +0.84% |