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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-13 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 1,922.73–1,926.66 (+1.6%) | 3.1 | 6.0% | 2.2d | 1.2d ago · 97× | 35% ±8 | 49% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 104 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±8 | 56% ±15 | 73% ±20 | 2.0d | 2.17% | 1.61% | 768 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 1,913.63–1,915.31 (+1.2%) | 2.2 | 5.5% | 2.1d | 2.0d ago · 103× | 54% ±13 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 124 | 19% ±4 | 54% ±13 | 70% ±21 | 79% ±28 | 21h | 2.10% | 1.37% | 341 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,904.33–1,926.81 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 7.0d ago · 82× | 72% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 104 | 43% ±5 | 72% ±11 | 82% ±16 | 85% ±23 | 6h | 1.95% | 1.55% | 393 → 9 | |
| at post · 1,891.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,859.37–1,887.98 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 4.6% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 84× | 89% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 119 | 70% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 94% ±17 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.52% | 312 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,884.9 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 5.3% | 1.6d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 78% ±11 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 109 | 55% ±5 | 78% ±11 | 86% ±15 | 90% ±21 | 3h | 2.33% | 1.39% | 335 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 1,874.7 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 7.4% | 2.5d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 63% ±16 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 85 | 28% ±6 | 64% ±16 | 79% ±23 | 86% ±30 | 12h | 2.50% | 1.27% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 1,868.95 (-1.2%) | 2.3 | 6.8% | 2.5d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 50% ±14 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±7 | 38% ±9 | 107 | 19% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 71% ±22 | 82% ±28 | 1.0d | 1.93% | 1.57% | 293 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,852.43–1,855.28 (-1.9%) | 3.6 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 25% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±12 | 70 | 5% ±2 | 25% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 60% ±25 | 4.7d | 2.47% | 1.64% | 635 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 1,891.62 | 1,915.31 | 1,877.38 | stop | -0.41% |