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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,955.07–1,960.46 (+3.5%) | 7.3 | 0.6% | 2h | 10.5d ago · 49× | 16% ±9 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 34% ±19 | 47% ±31 | > 7d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 415 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 1,922.75–1,926.66 (+1.8%) | 3.8 | 5.6% | 2.0d | 1.5d ago · 97× | 29% ±7 | 49% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 104 | 5% ±1 | 29% ±7 | 49% ±14 | 68% ±20 | 3.0d | 2.17% | 1.61% | 874 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 1,912.4–1,915.31 (+1.3%) | 2.6 | 4.8% | 1.7d | 2.2d ago · 103× | 45% ±12 | 51% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 125 | 14% ±3 | 45% ±12 | 63% ±20 | 74% ±29 | 1.4d | 2.10% | 1.37% | 387 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 1,908.39–1,926.34 (+1.1%) | 2.2 | 4.4% | 1.1d | 7.2d ago · 82× | 51% ±12 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 105 | 16% ±4 | 51% ±12 | 67% ±19 | 74% ±27 | 23h | 1.95% | 1.55% | 411 → 10 | |
| at post · 1,888.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,883.99 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 83% ±11 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 109 | 63% ±6 | 83% ±11 | 90% ±15 | 93% ±19 | 2h | 2.33% | 1.39% | 280 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,868.95–1,873.38 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 7.0% | 2.4d | 1.2d ago · 84× | 60% ±14 | 50% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 107 | 27% ±5 | 60% ±14 | 77% ±21 | 85% ±26 | 15h | 2.18% | 1.44% | 277 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,852.43–1,856.32 (-1.7%) | 3.4 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 4.7d ago · 58× | 26% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±12 | 70 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±8 | 46% ±16 | 61% ±25 | 4.2d | 2.47% | 1.64% | 633 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 1,888.07 | 1,915.31 | 1,876.31 | stop | -0.82% |