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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,919.06 (+1.6%) | 10 | 1.9% | 17h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 4% ±3 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±11 | 39% ±21 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.47% | 839 → 20 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,911.73 (+1.2%) | 7.8 | 1.5% | 11h | 2.0d ago · 69× | 10% ±5 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±11 | 81 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 28% ±12 | 47% ±20 | > 7d | 2.15% | 1.23% | 979 → 23 | |
| HVN zone | 1,910.99–1,925.51 (+1.2%) | 7.6 | 1.4% | 9h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 12% ±7 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 105 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 26% ±15 | 39% ±26 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 565 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,896.65 (+0.4%) | 2.7 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 44% ±9 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 104 | 10% ±2 | 44% ±9 | 63% ±16 | 80% ±20 | 1.3d | 2.32% | 1.67% | 632 → 15 | |
| at post · 1,888.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,862.57–1,888.39 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.6% | 10h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 91% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 120 | 79% ±5 | 91% ±9 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 1.93% | 1.52% | 246 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 1,884.26 (-0.2%) | 1.5 | 2.0% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 106× | 70% ±11 | 51% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 145 | 40% ±5 | 70% ±11 | 82% ±16 | 90% ±18 | 7h | 2.08% | 1.22% | 408 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 1,874.68 (-0.7%) | 4.7 | 2.2% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 72× | 30% ±11 | 53% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 88 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±11 | 55% ±20 | 71% ±28 | 2.4d | 2.20% | 1.25% | 415 → 10 | |
| 14D POC | 1,872.93 (-0.8%) | 5.3 | 2.2% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 84× | 25% ±9 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±7 | 38% ±9 | 109 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±9 | 48% ±18 | 68% ±26 | 3.4d | 1.87% | 1.57% | 504 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,865.89 (-1.2%) | 7.7 | 1.8% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 12% ±5 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 111 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 29% ±12 | 46% ±20 | > 7d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 976 → 23 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,858.45 (-1.6%) | 10 | 1.3% | 12h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 6% ±4 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 23% ±11 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 959 → 23 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,856.12 (-1.7%) | 11 | 1.1% | 8h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 3% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1016 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 1,888.6 | 1,896.65 | 1,865.89 | target | +0.93% |