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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+3.3%) | 8.8 | 0.5% | 1h | 10.2d ago · 49× | 12% ±7 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 39% ±30 | > 7d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 439 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,919.06 (+1.4%) | 3.6 | 4.5% | 1.7d | 18.7d ago · 44× | 32% ±12 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±12 | 51% ±23 | 66% ±33 | 2.8d | 1.90% | 1.47% | 331 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,911.86 (+1.0%) | 2.6 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.9d ago · 69× | 53% ±13 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±11 | 81 | 21% ±4 | 53% ±13 | 69% ±21 | 80% ±28 | 21h | 2.15% | 1.23% | 316 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,910.99–1,923.9 (+0.9%) | 2.5 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 7.0d ago · 82× | 45% ±11 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 105 | 13% ±3 | 45% ±11 | 64% ±18 | 73% ±26 | 1.3d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 472 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,895.27 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.2% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 87% ±11 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 104 | 72% ±6 | 87% ±11 | 93% ±15 | 95% ±19 | 1h | 2.32% | 1.67% | 221 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,893.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,862.57–1,890.01 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 3.5% | 19h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 87% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 120 | 69% ±5 | 87% ±9 | 91% ±13 | 94% ±17 | 1h | 1.93% | 1.52% | 325 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 1,883.03 (-0.5%) | 1.4 | 5.1% | 2.3d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 71% ±11 | 51% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 145 | 42% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 82% ±16 | 91% ±18 | 6h | 2.08% | 1.22% | 413 → 10 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 1,870.04–1,874.68 (-1.0%) | 2.6 | 5.4% | 1.8d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 41% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 36% ±9 | 111 | 11% ±2 | 41% ±9 | 64% ±15 | 74% ±20 | 1.6d | 2.12% | 1.38% | 755 → 18 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,862.46 (-1.6%) | 4.3 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 21% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 4% ±1 | 21% ±7 | 44% ±16 | 64% ±23 | 3.9d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 704 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,857.73 (-1.9%) | 5.0 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 20.4d ago · 30× | 14% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 32% ±16 | 43% ±26 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 598 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 1,893.31 | 1,883.03 | 1,899.82 | stop | -0.32% |