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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+2.6%) | 5.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 10.2d ago · 49× | 21% ±10 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 59% ±31 | 4.8d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 399 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,919.06 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 6.0% | 2.2d | 18.7d ago · 44× | 70% ±16 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 39% ±7 | 70% ±16 | 79% ±25 | 91% ±28 | 8h | 1.90% | 1.47% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,911.49 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 5.2% | 1.6d | 1.9d ago · 69× | 86% ±11 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±11 | 81 | 65% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 90% ±17 | 92% ±23 | 2h | 2.15% | 1.23% | 220 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,910.99–1,923.9 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 7.0d ago · 82× | 86% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 105 | 66% ±6 | 86% ±10 | 91% ±14 | 94% ±17 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.55% | 278 → 7 | |
| at post · 1,906.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 1,895.87 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 4.3% | 21h | 2.0d ago · 64× | 82% ±13 | 45% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 68 | 57% ±7 | 82% ±13 | 90% ±18 | 95% ±18 | 3h | 1.78% | 2.15% | 191 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,864.19–1,888.39 (-0.9%) | 1.9 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 2.0d ago · 84× | 58% ±12 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 120 | 23% ±4 | 58% ±12 | 76% ±18 | 85% ±23 | 17h | 1.93% | 1.52% | 370 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 1,883.87 (-1.2%) | 2.3 | 6.4% | 2.7d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 53% ±12 | 51% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 145 | 17% ±4 | 53% ±12 | 70% ±20 | 84% ±24 | 22h | 2.08% | 1.22% | 380 → 9 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 1,869.68–1,874.68 (-1.7%) | 3.3 | 7.2% | 2.4d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 36% ±8 | 53% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 36% ±9 | 111 | 8% ±2 | 36% ±8 | 59% ±14 | 71% ±19 | 2.0d | 2.12% | 1.38% | 869 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,864.69 (-2.2%) | 4.3 | 5.4% | 1.7d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 21% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 4% ±1 | 21% ±7 | 44% ±16 | 64% ±23 | 4.0d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 709 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,857.73 (-2.5%) | 5.1 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 20.4d ago · 30× | 13% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 31% ±16 | 43% ±25 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 616 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 1,906.21 | 1,872.81 | 1,919.91 | stop | -0.60% |