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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+2.4%) | 5.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 10.1d ago · 49× | 22% ±10 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±10 | 43% ±21 | 60% ±32 | 4.4d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 396 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,920.67 (+0.6%) | 1.2 | 5.7% | 2.1d | 18.7d ago · 44× | 73% ±15 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 44% ±7 | 73% ±15 | 81% ±23 | 91% ±25 | 6h | 1.90% | 1.47% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,910.78 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.2% | 1.5d | 1.9d ago · 69× | 90% ±12 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±11 | 81 | 76% ±7 | 90% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.23% | 160 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,909.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 1,898.78 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 4.2% | 22h | 1.9d ago · 64× | 81% ±14 | 45% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 68 | 54% ±7 | 81% ±14 | 89% ±18 | 95% ±19 | 3h | 1.78% | 2.15% | 190 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,864.19–1,886.78 (-1.2%) | 2.4 | 5.5% | 1.7d | 1.9d ago · 84× | 51% ±11 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 121 | 16% ±3 | 51% ±11 | 74% ±18 | 83% ±23 | 23h | 1.92% | 1.52% | 438 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 1,883.87 (-1.3%) | 2.7 | 6.3% | 2.7d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 50% ±12 | 51% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 146 | 13% ±3 | 50% ±12 | 67% ±19 | 82% ±24 | 1.0d | 2.08% | 1.22% | 434 → 10 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 1,870.41–1,874.68 (-1.8%) | 3.7 | 7.1% | 2.4d | 1.5d ago · 84× | 33% ±8 | 54% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 36% ±9 | 111 | 7% ±2 | 33% ±8 | 57% ±14 | 70% ±19 | 2.2d | 2.12% | 1.37% | 903 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 1,860.96–1,865.29 (-2.3%) | 4.7 | 5.5% | 1.8d | 4.4d ago · 58× | 16% ±7 | 47% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±12 | 71 | 3% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 37% ±15 | 54% ±23 | 4.1d | 2.45% | 1.64% | 749 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 1,909.4 | 1,874.29 | 1,918.97 | stop | -0.17% |