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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+3.0%) | 6.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 10.3d ago · 49× | 16% ±8 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 48% ±31 | > 7d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 432 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,923.9 (+1.3%) | 3.1 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 18.9d ago · 44× | 36% ±14 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 8% ±3 | 36% ±14 | 55% ±24 | 69% ±34 | 1.8d | 1.90% | 1.47% | 282 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,911.23 (+0.7%) | 1.5 | 4.6% | 1.4d | 2.1d ago · 69× | 70% ±13 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 82 | 40% ±6 | 70% ±13 | 78% ±20 | 85% ±26 | 8h | 2.08% | 1.18% | 282 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 1,904.53–1,923.9 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 4.7% | 1.3d | 7.1d ago · 82× | 83% ±10 | 55% ±9 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 106 | 62% ±5 | 83% ±10 | 89% ±14 | 93% ±18 | 2h | 1.95% | 1.54% | 329 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,901.69 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 97× | 83% ±11 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 105 | 67% ±6 | 83% ±11 | 92% ±15 | 95% ±17 | 2h | 2.29% | 1.66% | 246 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,898.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,865.8–1,886.78 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 2.1d ago · 84× | 71% ±11 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 121 | 40% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 82% ±16 | 89% ±21 | 7h | 1.92% | 1.52% | 390 → 9 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,880.82–1,883.87 (-0.8%) | 1.8 | 5.6% | 2.4d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 59% ±12 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 146 | 25% ±4 | 59% ±12 | 76% ±18 | 86% ±23 | 15h | 2.04% | 1.33% | 384 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,872.59 (-1.4%) | 3.1 | 6.0% | 1.9d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 35% ±8 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 111 | 9% ±2 | 35% ±8 | 59% ±15 | 68% ±21 | 2.0d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 736 → 18 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 1,864.19–1,867.65 (-1.6%) | 3.7 | 5.3% | 1.8d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 23% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±12 | 71 | 5% ±2 | 23% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 58% ±25 | 3.5d | 2.45% | 1.64% | 645 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 1,898.47 | 1,883.87 | 1,906.93 | stop | -1.99% |