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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-23 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,461.95–2,483.81 (+3.5%) | 3.2 | 0.2% | 14m | 10.1d ago · 49× | 31% ±11 | 60% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±12 | 57 | 8% ±3 | 31% ±11 | 54% ±21 | 69% ±30 | 2.5d | 3.27% | 1.21% | 375 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 2,389.07–2,432.79 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 1.5% | 4h | 6.9d ago · 82× | 87% ±10 | 55% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 107 | 68% ±6 | 87% ±10 | 92% ±14 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.53% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,385.87 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.4% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 86% ±11 | 51% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 106 | 71% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 93% ±14 | 95% ±19 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.66% | 230 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,378.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,326.3 (-2.2%) | 2.0 | 1.0% | 3h | 11.1d ago · 55× | 62% ±17 | 56% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 59 | 21% ±6 | 62% ±17 | 77% ±26 | 82% ±38 | 15h | 2.15% | 1.75% | 177 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,279.75–2,287.04 (-3.8%) | 3.5 | 1.5% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 84× | 36% ±10 | 50% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 123 | 8% ±2 | 37% ±10 | 64% ±17 | 74% ±25 | 1.6d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 521 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,126.7–2,214.16 (-6.9%) | 6.4 | 0.2% | 8m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 14% ±8 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 27% ±19 | 35% ±31 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 392 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,966.37 (-17.3%) | 16 | 1.4% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 38× | 2% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 11% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 12% ±20 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 176 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 1,905.49 (-19.9%) | 18 | 11.0% | 3.7d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 2% ±5 | 51% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 147 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 9% ±18 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.22% | 159 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,882.56–1,883.59 (-20.8%) | 19 | 12.7% | 6.2d | 1.5d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 111 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 14% ±21 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.38% | 469 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,868.01 (-21.5%) | 20 | 10.9% | 4.3d | 4.2d ago · 84× | 3% ±4 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 111 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 9% ±13 | 18% ±27 | > 7d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 321 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,852.22 (-22.1%) | 20 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 4.4d ago · 58× | 1% ±2 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 16% ±19 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 569 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,835.19 (-22.8%) | 21 | 1.0% | 6h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 840 → 20 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,378.24 | 1,905.49 | 2,479.08 | stop | -2.46% |