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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,530.07 (+2.4%) | 2.6 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 45% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 108 | 11% ±2 | 45% ±10 | 65% ±16 | 82% ±20 | 1.2d | 2.28% | 1.66% | 610 → 15 | |
| 7D POC | 2,475.32 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 11h | 3.3d ago · 103× | 90% ±8 | 47% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 128 | 78% ±4 | 90% ±8 | 93% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 2.10% | 1.45% | 344 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,469.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,403.64–2,447.37 (-0.9%) | 0.9 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.9d ago · 84× | 82% ±9 | 50% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 125 | 59% ±5 | 82% ±9 | 87% ±13 | 91% ±18 | 2h | 1.94% | 1.51% | 436 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,425.13 (-1.8%) | 1.9 | 2.1% | 14h | 11.1d ago · 55× | 64% ±17 | 56% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 59 | 23% ±6 | 63% ±17 | 77% ±26 | 80% ±39 | 14h | 2.15% | 1.75% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 2,278.84–2,279.75 (-7.7%) | 8.1 | 1.2% | 3h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 9% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 37% ±9 | 111 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 26% ±12 | 42% ±20 | > 7d | 2.13% | 1.36% | 986 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 2,119.41–2,221.44 (-10.0%) | 11 | 0.3% | 19m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±9 | 16% ±20 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 534 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,911.71 (-22.6%) | 24 | 10.5% | 4.7d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 0% ±2 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±18 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 416 → 10 | |
| 14D POC | 1,883.18 (-23.7%) | 25 | 9.7% | 5.2d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 0% ±2 | 49% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 111 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 4% ±12 | 13% ±29 | > 7d | 1.93% | 1.54% | 214 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,859.02 (-24.7%) | 26 | 4.6% | 1.5d | 4.4d ago · 58× | 0% ±1 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 13% ±21 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 402 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,820.61 (-26.3%) | 28 | 0.1% | 8m | 20.3d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 633 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,469.59 | 2,278.84 | 2,530.07 | expired | +1.05% |