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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-28 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,538.27 (+2.1%) | 2.4 | 0.6% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 69× | 56% ±14 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 83 | 22% ±5 | 56% ±14 | 70% ±22 | 81% ±29 | 19h | 2.00% | 1.23% | 307 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,519.98 (+1.3%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 57% ±12 | 51% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 108 | 31% ±4 | 57% ±12 | 74% ±18 | 87% ±21 | 14h | 2.28% | 1.66% | 428 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,492.56–2,495.71 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.9% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 103× | 91% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 130 | 76% ±4 | 91% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 2.06% | 1.38% | 380 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,487.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,422.91 (-2.6%) | 3.1 | 2.0% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 35% ±8 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 111 | 9% ±2 | 35% ±8 | 59% ±15 | 68% ±22 | 2.0d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 735 → 18 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,394.87 (-3.7%) | 4.4 | 1.5% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 38× | 19% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 11% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 2% ±2 | 19% ±13 | 47% ±28 | 70% ±40 | 3.6d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,256.99 (-9.3%) | 11 | 1.2% | 5h | 4.4d ago · 58× | 5% ±3 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 21% ±11 | 41% ±20 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 965 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 2,126.38–2,215.88 (-10.9%) | 13 | 0.1% | 7m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±17 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 519 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,850.44–1,932.48 (-22.3%) | 26 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.9d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 50% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 127 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±19 | 8% ±31 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.50% | 140 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 1,913.83 (-23.1%) | 27 | 8.2% | 3.9d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 6% ±17 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 346 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,820.61 (-26.8%) | 32 | <0.1% | 8m | 20.3d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 513 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,487.19 | 2,256.99 | 2,538.27 | expired | +2.18% |