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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,518.18–2,519.92 (+5.9%) | 7.6 | 2.1% | 8h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 10% ±5 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 111 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 28% ±12 | 46% ±20 | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.45% | 1006 → 24 | |
| 14D POC | 2,457.91 (+3.3%) | 4.3 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 3.1d ago · 78× | 23% ±11 | 37% ±9 | 13% ±7 | 50% ±10 | 102 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±11 | 40% ±22 | 52% ±35 | 5.8d | 2.03% | 1.26% | 351 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,442.8–2,444.31 (+2.7%) | 3.5 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 32% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 133 | 7% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 52% ±20 | 68% ±28 | 2.6d | 2.03% | 1.45% | 458 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,416.39 (+1.6%) | 2.0 | 3.1% | 21h | 4.3d ago · 56× | 51% ±19 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 68 | 18% ±6 | 51% ±19 | 65% ±31 | 74% ±43 | 1.0d | 1.70% | 1.44% | 168 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,401.22–2,516.13 (+0.9%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 8h | 6.8d ago · 82× | 74% ±11 | 54% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 110 | 46% ±5 | 74% ±10 | 83% ±15 | 87% ±21 | 5h | 1.95% | 1.54% | 408 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,390.76 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 2.3% | 12h | 20.0d ago · 46× | 83% ±16 | 42% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 54 | 62% ±8 | 83% ±16 | 87% ±25 | 88% ±37 | 1h | 2.07% | 1.76% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,378.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,128.32–2,214.5 (-6.9%) | 8.9 | 0.1% | 5m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 5% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 11% ±11 | 19% ±21 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 532 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,862.59–1,927.23 (-19.0%) | 24 | 1.9% | 15h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±24 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 177 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 1,880.55 (-20.9%) | 27 | 5.5% | 3.7d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±16 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 379 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,848.23 (-22.3%) | 29 | <0.1% | 17m | 20.1d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 632 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,378.66 | 2,251.23 | 2,457.91 | stop | -5.12% |