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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-03 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,516.34–2,517.72 (+3.9%) | 5.2 | 2.2% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 20% ±6 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 111 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 40% ±13 | 60% ±19 | 4.6d | 2.20% | 1.45% | 1033 → 25 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 2,442.74–2,444.99 (+0.8%) | 1.1 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 80% ±9 | 43% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 133 | 54% ±5 | 80% ±9 | 87% ±13 | 92% ±16 | 4h | 2.03% | 1.38% | 456 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,422.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,411.13 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 3.1% | 20h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 82% ±10 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 114 | 59% ±5 | 82% ±10 | 89% ±14 | 92% ±19 | 2h | 2.27% | 1.35% | 336 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,400.59 (-0.9%) | 1.2 | 2.5% | 13h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 63% ±13 | 45% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±12 | 72 | 41% ±5 | 63% ±13 | 72% ±21 | 79% ±30 | 7h | 2.10% | 1.77% | 314 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-8.5%) | 11 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 13% ±18 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 575 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,866.5–1,923.64 (-20.6%) | 28 | 3.0% | 1.5d | 2.0d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±17 | 7% ±25 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 1,912.93 (-21.0%) | 28 | 5.5% | 2.8d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 6% ±15 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 361 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,852.22 (-23.5%) | 32 | 0.1% | 16m | 20.3d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±13 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 549 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,422.35 | 2,442.74 | 2,391.94 | target | +1.15% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,422.35 | 2,442.82 | 2,379.75 | target | +1.15% |