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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-05 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,517.81 (+2.7%) | 3.6 | 2.9% | 13h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 36% ±11 | 57% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 85 | 9% ±3 | 36% ±11 | 57% ±19 | 76% ±25 | 2.3d | 2.15% | 1.22% | 451 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,483.68 (+1.3%) | 1.8 | 3.1% | 17h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 54% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 112 | 24% ±4 | 54% ±11 | 72% ±18 | 87% ±20 | 19h | 2.32% | 1.64% | 449 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,453.37–2,459.27 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.8d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 92% ±7 | 43% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 134 | 78% ±4 | 92% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 97% ±12 | 1h | 2.02% | 1.40% | 346 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,450.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,422.73 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 3.2% | 20h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 55% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 30% ±5 | 54% ±13 | 67% ±22 | 75% ±30 | 15h | 2.16% | 1.76% | 325 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,383.9 (-2.7%) | 3.6 | 2.1% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 31% ±8 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 7% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 54% ±14 | 65% ±20 | 2.4d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 862 → 21 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-9.6%) | 13 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 10% ±16 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 574 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,923.64 (-21.5%) | 29 | 2.7% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 7% ±24 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 160 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 1,912.93 (-22.0%) | 29 | 5.1% | 2.7d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 6% ±16 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 353 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,852.22 (-24.4%) | 32 | <0.1% | 11m | 20.1d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±13 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 533 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,450.95 | 2,383.9 | 2,483.68 | stop | -1.55% |
| 14d | POC | short | 2,450.95 | 2,422.73 | 2,517.81 | expired | -1.55% |