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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,517.81 (+2.4%) | 6.6 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 13% ±5 | 57% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 85 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 34% ±13 | 55% ±21 | 6.1d | 2.15% | 1.22% | 928 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,489.44 (+1.3%) | 3.5 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 34% ±8 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 112 | 6% ±2 | 34% ±8 | 57% ±14 | 76% ±19 | 2.0d | 2.32% | 1.64% | 821 → 20 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,459.27 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.1% | 18h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 91% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 44% ±13 | 58 | 71% ±8 | 92% ±11 | 95% ±16 | 98% ±17 | 1h | 1.82% | 1.48% | 132 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,457.71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,453.37–2,453.94 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.4% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 87% ±8 | 50% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 152 | 73% ±4 | 87% ±8 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.99% | 1.37% | 406 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,426.96 (-1.3%) | 3.4 | 1.5% | 9h | 4.4d ago · 58× | 28% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 7% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 48% ±17 | 64% ±25 | 3.3d | 2.16% | 1.76% | 604 → 14 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,387.74 (-2.8%) | 7.7 | 1.2% | 6h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 12% ±5 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 29% ±12 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1022 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-9.8%) | 27 | <0.1% | 3m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 1% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 6% ±23 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 184 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,923.64 (-21.7%) | 59 | 1.4% | 16h | 1.9d ago · 84× | 6% ±34 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 16 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 1,912.93 (-22.2%) | 60 | 2.4% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 9% ±28 | 10% ±42 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,852.22 (-24.6%) | 67 | <0.1% | 6m | 20.3d ago · 30× | 1% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±17 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 100 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,457.71 | 2,489.44 | 2,387.74 | target | +1.70% |
| 14d | POC | long | 2,457.71 | 2,517.81 | 2,426.96 | target | +1.70% |