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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,552.12 (+1.6%) | 2.7 | <0.1% | 12m | 18.6d ago · 44× | 42% ±14 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 11% ±4 | 42% ±14 | 61% ±25 | 76% ±34 | 1.5d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 270 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,525.89 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 74% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 113 | 54% ±5 | 74% ±11 | 86% ±15 | 93% ±17 | 4h | 2.29% | 1.61% | 382 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,517.81 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.5% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 87% ±11 | 57% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 85 | 67% ±6 | 87% ±11 | 90% ±17 | 93% ±23 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.22% | 205 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,512 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,453.37–2,455.7 (-2.2%) | 3.8 | 3.9% | 1.9d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 37% ±10 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 154 | 8% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 59% ±19 | 75% ±24 | 1.8d | 2.05% | 1.31% | 494 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,435.41 (-3.0%) | 5.2 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 16% ±6 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 38% ±14 | 60% ±21 | 4.8d | 2.16% | 1.76% | 874 → 21 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,416.52 (-3.8%) | 6.5 | 2.6% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 15% ±5 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±5 | 34% ±12 | 49% ±19 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1072 → 26 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,252.16 (-10.3%) | 18 | 0.9% | 4h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 18% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 951 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-11.8%) | 20 | 0.1% | 5m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±15 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 368 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,923.64 (-23.4%) | 40 | 1.8% | 1.0d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±6 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 86 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,512 | 2,453.37 | 2,532.64 | stop | +0.70% |