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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-07 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,552.12 (+1.9%) | 2.9 | 0.1% | 13m | 18.8d ago · 44× | 40% ±14 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 9% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 60% ±24 | 75% ±32 | 1.6d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 285 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,527.81 (+0.9%) | 1.4 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 60% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 113 | 34% ±4 | 60% ±11 | 77% ±17 | 88% ±20 | 12h | 2.29% | 1.61% | 438 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,517.81 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.8% | 13h | 2.0d ago · 69× | 83% ±11 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 86 | 61% ±6 | 83% ±11 | 88% ±16 | 92% ±20 | 2h | 2.20% | 1.17% | 279 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,505.69–2,505.75 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 91% ±7 | 44% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 135 | 81% ±4 | 91% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±12 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.38% | 333 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,504.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,501.96 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 91% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 116 | 78% ±5 | 91% ±8 | 95% ±11 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.87% | 1.56% | 285 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,435.41 (-2.8%) | 4.2 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 22% ±7 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 4% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 44% ±15 | 62% ±23 | 4.2d | 2.16% | 1.76% | 734 → 17 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,418.44 (-3.4%) | 5.3 | 2.9% | 19h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 20% ±6 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 54% ±20 | 5.3d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1054 → 25 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,259.3 (-9.8%) | 15 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 21% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1044 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-11.5%) | 18 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±15 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 453 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,916.5 (-23.5%) | 36 | 2.8% | 1.7d | 2.1d ago · 84× | 1% ±5 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 107 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,504.38 | 2,517.81 | 2,435.41 | expired | -1.30% |