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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-10 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.83 (+5.2%) | 6.9 | 0.7% | 2h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 10% ±5 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 45% ±24 | > 7d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 731 → 17 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,516.03–2,518.22 (+4.3%) | 5.7 | 3.6% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 18% ±6 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 115 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 38% ±12 | 58% ±19 | 5.1d | 2.27% | 1.40% | 1059 → 25 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,491.41–2,501.91 (+3.2%) | 4.3 | 5.7% | 2.0d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 20% ±9 | 42% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 137 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±9 | 41% ±19 | 57% ±28 | 4.5d | 1.95% | 1.33% | 491 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,465.34 (+2.2%) | 2.9 | 4.6% | 1.4d | 4.6d ago · 56× | 40% ±17 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 69 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±17 | 58% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 1.5d | 1.68% | 1.54% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,437.63 (+1.0%) | 1.3 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 20.3d ago · 46× | 69% ±18 | 41% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 55 | 35% ±8 | 69% ±18 | 77% ±28 | 78% ±41 | 9h | 2.03% | 1.79% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,413.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,330.72 (-3.4%) | 4.6 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 16% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 3% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 34% ±17 | 44% ±27 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 562 → 13 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-8.2%) | 11 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±8 | 14% ±18 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 598 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,909.35 (-20.9%) | 28 | 2.1% | 1.0d | 2.1d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±14 | 6% ±21 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 191 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,413.44 | 2,332.85 | 2,501.91 | stop | -3.99% |