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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,538.23 (+1.1%) | 1.6 | 0.6% | 1h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 60% ±16 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 26% ±6 | 60% ±16 | 75% ±25 | 88% ±28 | 12h | 1.82% | 1.47% | 218 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,514.38 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.0% | 21h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 88% ±11 | 58% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 87 | 72% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 92% ±17 | 95% ±22 | 1h | 2.25% | 1.12% | 187 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,509.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,505.49 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 1.8d ago · 64× | 91% ±12 | 45% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 73% ±8 | 91% ±12 | 92% ±20 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 1.68% | 2.08% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,490.23–2,492.45 (-0.7%) | 1.0 | 5.7% | 2.0d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 80% ±9 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 155 | 59% ±4 | 80% ±9 | 89% ±12 | 93% ±15 | 3h | 2.09% | 1.20% | 510 → 12 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 2,453.74–2,455.86 (-2.1%) | 3.0 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 38% ±8 | 53% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 119 | 9% ±2 | 38% ±8 | 61% ±14 | 71% ±20 | 1.8d | 2.06% | 1.46% | 783 → 19 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,433.79 (-3.0%) | 4.3 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 21% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 74 | 4% ±1 | 21% ±7 | 44% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 3.9d | 2.10% | 1.76% | 751 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,369.2 (-5.6%) | 7.9 | 1.1% | 4h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 6% ±4 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 32% ±20 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 883 → 21 | |
| LVN zone | 2,129.74–2,214.26 (-11.8%) | 17 | 0.1% | 5m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 511 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,876.2–1,904.37 (-24.1%) | 34 | 1.8% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 140 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 2,509.74 | 2,561.48 | 2,490.23 | open | — |
| 30d | POC | long | 2,509.74 | 2,538.23 | 2,369.2 | open | — |