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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.38 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 5h | 18.5d ago · 44× | 91% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 69% ±8 | 91% ±11 | 94% ±17 | 97% ±19 | 1h | 1.82% | 1.47% | 142 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,529.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,485.12–2,523 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.1% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 106× | 80% ±9 | 51% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 155 | 56% ±4 | 80% ±9 | 89% ±12 | 93% ±16 | 4h | 1.98% | 1.50% | 481 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,447.98 (-3.2%) | 2.7 | 8.3% | 3.3d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 40% ±9 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 116 | 12% ±2 | 40% ±9 | 62% ±15 | 70% ±22 | 1.7d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 684 → 16 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-3.9%) | 3.3 | 5.6% | 1.7d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 28% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 74 | 7% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 49% ±17 | 65% ±24 | 3.2d | 2.10% | 1.76% | 615 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,360.52 (-6.7%) | 5.6 | 1.2% | 4h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 10% ±6 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 27% ±14 | 39% ±24 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 691 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 2,127.39–2,215.82 (-12.4%) | 10 | 0.2% | 12m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 3% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 7% ±9 | 15% ±19 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 595 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,870.15–1,910.34 (-24.5%) | 20 | 2.6% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 2% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 10% ±24 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 254 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,529.4 | 2,485.12 | 2,569.21 | open | — |