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PUMP.FUN · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
PUMP.FUN · these odds run backwards 4,209 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.250, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0006), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.52 to -0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 0.008999 (+11.3%) | 4.2 | <0.1% | 4m | 2.5d ago · 86× | 43% ±32 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 10% ±8 | 41% ±31 | 65% ±54 | 74% | 1.3d | 5.17% | 6.32% | 59 → 1 | |
| at post · 0.008088 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 0.0079683–0.00797311 (-1.4%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 100× | 77% ±37 | 53% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 62% ±17 | 78% ±33 | 82% ±54 | 85% | 2h | 8.83% | 2.02% | 33 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 0.00650846–0.00759408 (-6.1%) | 2.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 48× | 27% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 14% ±11 | 37% ±36 | 44% ±69 | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 0.00615052 (-24.0%) | 8.9 | 1.5% | 10h | 1.6d ago · 82× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | — | — | 171 → 4 |
| 30D VAH | 0.00574214 (-29.0%) | 11 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 32× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 0.00459266–0.00491196 (-39.3%) | 15 | 2.1% | 21h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 2% ±8 | 59% ±22 | 23% ±19 | 18% ±17 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 9.45% | 3.09% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 0.00484281 (-40.1%) | 15 | 2.9% | 1.4d | 29.6d ago · 55× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 5% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 166 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 0.00283651 (-64.9%) | 24 | 6.3% | 2.7d | 12.9d ago · 53× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 0.002613 (-67.7%) | 25 | 0.5% | 5h | 15.1d ago · 32× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 0.008088 | 0.008999 | 0.00615052 | expired | -0.85% |
| 14d | POC | long | 0.008088 | 0.008999 | 0.00484281 | expired | -0.85% |