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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-08-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0025), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.26 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3.3335 (+0.7%) | 0.4 | 1.9% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 37× | 87% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 81% ±16 | 88% ±31 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| at post · 3.3104 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3.2111 (-3.0%) | 1.8 | 2.6% | 20h | 12.8d ago · 41× | 43% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 32% ±20 | 45% ±56 | 45% | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2.9004–3.1934 (-3.5%) | 2.2 | 3.1% | 1.3d | 2.8d ago · 86× | 45% ±34 | 74% ±22 | 21% ±20 | 5% ±11 | 16 | 17% ±10 | 47% ±35 | 57% ±56 | 69% | 1.3d | 3.51% | 1.50% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3.0867 (-6.8%) | 4.1 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 66× | 9% ±28 | 46% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±7 | 7% ±25 | 7% | 43% | > 7d | 5.38% | 0.61% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2.9918–2.996 (-9.5%) | 5.8 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 3.4d ago · 109× | 5% ±13 | 60% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 5% ±20 | 5% ±29 | > 7d | 3.43% | 0.84% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.9165 (-11.9%) | 7.3 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 80× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 21% ±36 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 2.7659 (-16.4%) | 10 | 2.5% | 13h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 9% ±23 | 21% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 102 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2.7349 (-17.4%) | 11 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 112 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 2.4419–2.6967 (-18.5%) | 11 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 3% ±18 | > 7d | — | — | 131 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 3.3104 | 2.996 | 3.4412 | expired | +1.60% |