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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,505 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0022), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.31 to 0.37) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3.3494 (+6.8%) | 11 | 0.5% | 2h | 11.5d ago · 46× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 24% ±34 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 30D VAH | 3.3382 (+6.4%) | 11 | 0.8% | 4h | 5.3d ago · 37× | 16% ±23 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±21 | 23% ±41 | 23% ±59 | > 7d | 3.61% | 1.07% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 3.3002 (+5.2%) | 8.8 | 1.3% | 8h | 3.4d ago · 78× | 5% ±11 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 14% ±31 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 1.72% | 3.34% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3.2758–3.2776 (+4.5%) | 7.5 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 107× | 11% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±17 | 17% ±37 | 54% ±69 | 6.2d | 3.16% | 2.50% | 70 → 2 | |
| at post · 3.1359 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 3.1204 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.5% | 22h | 2.9d ago · 60× | 80% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 65% ±24 | 82% ±43 | 82% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3.1087 (-0.9%) | 1.5 | 2.3% | 20h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 67% ±38 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 32% ±15 | 68% ±34 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 12h | 2.83% | 1.02% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3.0622 (-2.3%) | 3.9 | 1.9% | 12h | 2.9d ago · 80× | 29% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 6% ±5 | 28% ±24 | 56% ±49 | 69% ±64 | 2.3d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2.949 (-6.0%) | 10.0 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 140 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 3.1359 | 3.3382 | 2.949 | expired | -5.59% |