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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,505 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0022), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.31 to 0.37) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3.3472 (+7.6%) | 13 | 0.5% | 3h | 11.5d ago · 46× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 20% ±32 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3.3289 (+7.0%) | 12 | 1.1% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 37× | 16% ±23 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±21 | 19% ±38 | 19% ±54 | > 7d | 3.61% | 1.07% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3.2764 (+5.3%) | 9.4 | 1.9% | 13h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 8% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 23% ±48 | 48% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3.2589 (+4.8%) | 8.4 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.4d ago · 78× | 5% ±12 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 14% ±31 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 1.72% | 3.34% | 95 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3.1204–3.1218 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 3.0d ago · 107× | 85% ±28 | 44% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 68% ±15 | 86% ±26 | 89% ±43 | 89% | 2h | 3.16% | 2.50% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 3.1105 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3.0691 (-1.3%) | 2.3 | 1.9% | 13h | 2.9d ago · 80× | 51% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 11% ±9 | 48% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 82% | 1.1d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3.0523 (-1.9%) | 3.3 | 1.7% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 26% ±23 | 50% ±30 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 3% ±4 | 26% ±23 | 48% ±44 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.12% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.9675 (-4.6%) | 8.1 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3.1105 | 3.0523 | 3.2589 | target | +3.49% |
| 30d | POC | short | 3.1105 | 2.9675 | 3.3289 | target | +3.49% |