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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,505 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0022), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.31 to 0.37) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3.3475 (+16.3%) | 17 | 0.8% | 4h | 11.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±19 | 24% ±59 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3.2995 (+14.6%) | 16 | 2.2% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 37× | 11% ±17 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±16 | 13% ±30 | 13% ±47 | > 7d | 3.61% | 1.07% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3.277 (+13.8%) | 15 | 3.0% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 3.121 (+8.4%) | 9.0 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 19.3d ago · 65× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 9% ±40 | 97% | 4.5d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3.0806 (+7.0%) | 7.5 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 78× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 13% ±25 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 1.72% | 3.34% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3.0655 (+6.5%) | 6.9 | 3.3% | 22h | 2.7d ago · 69× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 7% ±14 | 15% ±49 | 15% | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2.9923–3.0089 (+3.9%) | 4.2 | 2.9% | 22h | 2.7d ago · 111× | 53% ±35 | 47% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 11% ±8 | 53% ±33 | 57% ±56 | 57% | 20h | 2.18% | 1.87% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.984 (+3.7%) | 3.9 | 2.7% | 21h | 21.6d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 2.8933 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | 1.6% | 16h | 3.0d ago · 107× | 86% ±26 | 41% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 72% ±14 | 86% ±26 | 88% ±44 | 88% | 1h | 3.24% | 1.95% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 2.8788 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2.8613 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 0.8% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 90% ±24 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 64% ±15 | 90% ±22 | 93% ±36 | 93% | 2h | 2.51% | 1.30% | 40 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2.8788 | 2.8933 | 2.8218 | stop | +7.34% |