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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-08-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,505 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0022), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.31 to 0.37) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3.3387 (+16.9%) | 17 | 1.2% | 6h | 11.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 9% ±25 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 97 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3.3006 (+15.6%) | 16 | 2.2% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 37× | 10% ±15 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 12% ±28 | 12% ±45 | > 7d | 3.61% | 1.07% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3.2749 (+14.7%) | 15 | 3.2% | 21h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 3.1237 (+9.4%) | 9.4 | 4.4% | 1.6d | 19.3d ago · 65× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 9% ±39 | 97% | 4.7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3.0738 (+7.6%) | 7.6 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 78× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 13% ±25 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 1.72% | 3.34% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3.0503 (+6.8%) | 6.8 | 3.1% | 19h | 2.7d ago · 69× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±12 | 13% ±38 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2.9861 (+4.6%) | 4.6 | 2.9% | 22h | 21.6d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2.9861–3.0097 (+4.6%) | 4.6 | 2.9% | 22h | 2.7d ago · 111× | 42% ±34 | 47% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 5% ±6 | 41% ±32 | 45% ±56 | 45% | > 7d | 2.18% | 1.87% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 2.8933 (+1.3%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 107× | 64% ±36 | 41% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 43% ±15 | 64% ±36 | 77% ±58 | 80% | 7h | 3.24% | 1.95% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 2.8557 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2.8478 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 0.7% | 5h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 89% ±30 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 77% ±16 | 90% ±26 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 1h | 2.51% | 1.30% | 28 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2.8557 | 2.8933 | 2.8071 | stop | +6.17% |