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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,503 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0025), and their calibration slope is 0.02 (95% -0.31 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3.0728 (+2.3%) | 2.5 | 2.2% | 12h | 5.2d ago · 37× | 55% ±27 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 11% ±7 | 55% ±27 | 80% ±39 | 81% ±54 | 21h | 3.46% | 1.07% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 3.0591 (+1.8%) | 2.0 | 2.8% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 78× | 43% ±24 | 36% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 18% ±7 | 42% ±23 | 66% ±38 | 70% ±64 | 1.3d | 1.82% | 2.82% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAH | 3.0116–3.0189 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 6.9% | 1.9d | 2.8d ago · 107× | 88% ±21 | 40% ±21 | 6% ±10 | 54% ±21 | 22 | 76% ±11 | 89% ±20 | 93% ±30 | 93% | 1h | 2.06% | 1.99% | 57 → 1 | |
| at post · 3.0048 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2.9453 (-2.0%) | 2.2 | 3.2% | 23h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 53% ±27 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 15% ±8 | 53% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 72% ±63 | 20h | 2.71% | 1.31% | 80 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2.8376–2.8572 (-4.9%) | 5.4 | 4.3% | 1.1d | 2.2d ago · 86× | 17% ±16 | 63% ±18 | 19% ±14 | 19% ±14 | 29 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±17 | 27% ±33 | 51% ±57 | 6.9d | 2.69% | 1.54% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL | 2.8376–2.845 (-5.3%) | 5.9 | 4.6% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 80× | 9% ±12 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 21% ±28 | 32% ±46 | > 7d | 1.03% | 1.68% | 149 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.7347 (-9.0%) | 9.9 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.7d ago · 80× | 4% ±7 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±17 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.96% | 181 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3.0048 | 2.9453 | 3.0591 | expired | -1.35% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 3.0048 | 2.845 | 3.0701 | expired | -1.35% |
| 30d | POC | short | 3.0048 | 2.8376 | 3.0728 | expired | -1.35% |