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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,503 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0025), and their calibration slope is 0.02 (95% -0.31 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 3.0623–3.0728 (+1.0%) | 1.2 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 78× | 68% ±24 | 52% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 35% ±10 | 68% ±24 | 89% ±27 | 90% ±41 | 10h | 2.50% | 1.86% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 3.0331 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 30D POC · 7D POC | 3.0032–3.0198 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 5.8% | 1.5d | 2.7d ago · 109× | 73% ±25 | 52% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 40% ±21 | 21 | 50% ±11 | 73% ±25 | 80% ±39 | 82% ±54 | 4h | 2.14% | 1.50% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2.9491 (-2.8%) | 3.4 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 2.7d ago · 97× | 26% ±18 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±18 | 50% ±35 | 52% ±57 | 3.0d | 2.71% | 1.31% | 138 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2.8376–2.8572 (-5.8%) | 7.2 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 2.2d ago · 86× | 9% ±12 | 63% ±18 | 19% ±14 | 19% ±14 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 23% ±31 | 56% ±56 | 5.8d | 2.69% | 1.54% | 134 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL | 2.8376–2.8435 (-6.2%) | 7.7 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 80× | 6% ±8 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 15% ±21 | 27% ±39 | > 7d | 1.03% | 1.68% | 199 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.7777 (-8.4%) | 10 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.7d ago · 80× | 4% ±7 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 7% ±15 | 15% ±31 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.96% | 196 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3.0331 | 3.0347 | 2.8435 | target | -0.47% |
| 30d | POC | long | 3.0331 | 3.0728 | 2.8376 | expired | -0.47% |