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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,505 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0022), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.31 to 0.37) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3.1855 (+5.8%) | 8.7 | <0.1% | 19m | 11.4d ago · 46× | 4% ±6 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±22 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 1.72% | 2.65% | 197 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 3.0687–3.0728 (+2.0%) | 2.9 | 1.7% | 9h | 3.3d ago · 78× | 36% ±20 | 52% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 6% ±4 | 36% ±20 | 61% ±34 | 64% ±54 | 1.8d | 2.50% | 1.86% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3.0334–3.0362 (+0.8%) | 1.2 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 2.9d ago · 107× | 73% ±25 | 40% ±20 | 10% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 51% ±11 | 73% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 93% ±36 | 5h | 1.70% | 1.79% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3.0116 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.4% | 1.5d | 19.2d ago · 65× | 89% ±25 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 76% ±14 | 89% ±25 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 1h | 2.28% | 1.21% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 3.0098 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2.9664 (-1.4%) | 2.1 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 52% ±26 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 15% ±8 | 51% ±26 | 67% ±41 | 70% ±64 | 23h | 2.71% | 1.31% | 82 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.8869 (-4.1%) | 6.1 | 2.9% | 18h | 2.8d ago · 80× | 16% ±15 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±15 | 37% ±33 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.96% | 137 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2.8376–2.8572 (-5.1%) | 7.5 | 3.2% | 21h | 2.2d ago · 86× | 9% ±12 | 63% ±18 | 19% ±14 | 19% ±14 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 22% ±29 | 55% ±56 | 6.0d | 2.69% | 1.54% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.8425 (-5.6%) | 8.2 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 50× | 7% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 16% ±21 | 22% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 210 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 3.0098 | 2.8425 | 3.0728 | stop | -2.91% |