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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,503 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0025), and their calibration slope is 0.02 (95% -0.31 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3.1855 (+5.4%) | 9.7 | <0.1% | 14m | 11.3d ago · 46× | 3% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 15% ±20 | 27% ±39 | > 7d | 1.72% | 2.65% | 216 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 3.0687–3.0728 (+1.5%) | 2.8 | 1.4% | 8h | 3.2d ago · 78× | 39% ±20 | 52% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 7% ±4 | 39% ±20 | 63% ±33 | 67% ±53 | 1.5d | 2.50% | 1.86% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3.0334 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 2.9d ago · 107× | 89% ±18 | 38% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 54% ±20 | 23 | 72% ±10 | 89% ±18 | 92% ±27 | 95% ±32 | 1h | 1.73% | 1.98% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 3.0225 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3.0116–3.0117 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 80× | 87% ±27 | 34% ±26 | 17% ±21 | 48% ±27 | 13 | 72% ±14 | 88% ±26 | 91% ±40 | 92% | 1h | 0.91% | 1.99% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 2.9737 (-1.6%) | 2.9 | 2.5% | 18h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 34% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±4 | 33% ±20 | 57% ±37 | 59% ±56 | 1.9d | 2.71% | 1.31% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.9115 (-3.7%) | 6.6 | 1.8% | 10h | 2.8d ago · 80× | 14% ±14 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 30% ±32 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.96% | 151 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2.8376–2.8621 (-5.3%) | 9.6 | 2.7% | 17h | 2.2d ago · 86× | 6% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 19% ±14 | 19% ±14 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 20% ±30 | 57% ±56 | 5.8d | 2.69% | 1.54% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.8425 (-6.0%) | 11 | 2.9% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 4% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±16 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 223 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 3.0225 | 3.1855 | 2.9115 | expired | +3.06% |
| 30d | POC | long | 3.0225 | 3.0728 | 2.8425 | target | +3.06% |