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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,503 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0025), and their calibration slope is 0.02 (95% -0.31 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3.1145–3.1169 (+2.7%) | 4.1 | 1.6% | 14h | 5.1d ago · 46× | 29% ±22 | 54% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 40% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±4 | 30% ±21 | 52% ±40 | 57% ±56 | 1.8d | 2.62% | 1.90% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3.099 (+2.2%) | 3.3 | 1.6% | 12h | 3.2d ago · 78× | 32% ±18 | 44% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 52% ±21 | 22 | 8% ±4 | 32% ±18 | 52% ±33 | 59% ±48 | 2.5d | 1.86% | 2.11% | 154 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3.0336–3.0371 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 107× | 95% ±13 | 43% ±20 | 9% ±12 | 48% ±20 | 24 | 80% ±10 | 95% ±13 | 95% ±22 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 1.74% | 1.93% | 64 → 2 | |
| at post · 3.0328 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 3.0116 (-0.7%) | 1.1 | 5.4% | 1.5d | 2.7d ago · 60× | 79% ±28 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 63% ±14 | 78% ±29 | 89% ±35 | 91% | 2h | 0.95% | 2.12% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 2.9798 (-1.7%) | 2.6 | 2.9% | 22h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 40% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±21 | 59% ±36 | 61% ±55 | 1.7d | 2.71% | 1.31% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.9449 (-2.9%) | 4.4 | 2.1% | 16h | 2.7d ago · 80× | 27% ±19 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±18 | 57% ±37 | 66% ±54 | 2.2d | 3.11% | 1.96% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.8572 (-5.8%) | 8.8 | 3.1% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 5% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±18 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 227 → 5 |
| HVN zone | 2.8327–2.8572 (-5.8%) | 8.8 | 3.1% | 20h | 2.1d ago · 86× | 6% ±9 | 62% ±17 | 21% ±14 | 18% ±13 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 19% ±27 | 55% ±56 | 5.9d | 2.69% | 1.51% | 140 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 3.0328 | 2.9449 | 3.1145 | expired | +1.62% |