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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-10-04 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,502 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0026), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.26 to 0.35) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3.1237 (+6.0%) | 8.9 | 1.2% | 8h | 5.0d ago · 37× | 6% ±8 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 20% ±22 | 32% ±37 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.83% | 232 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 3.0754 (+4.4%) | 6.5 | 1.3% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 78× | 15% ±11 | 45% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 52% ±19 | 26 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 25% ±24 | 39% ±39 | > 7d | 1.86% | 1.99% | 234 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 3.0298–3.0335 (+2.9%) | 4.2 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 2.6d ago · 107× | 22% ±18 | 46% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 44% ±18 | 28 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±18 | 37% ±36 | 63% ±55 | 5.6d | 1.75% | 1.74% | 126 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2.964–3.0516 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 19h | 2.3d ago · 111× | 79% ±19 | 41% ±18 | 25% ±16 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 56% ±10 | 79% ±19 | 93% ±20 | 96% ±27 | 3h | 1.40% | 1.45% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 2.9533 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.5% | 18h | 11.1d ago · 46× | 86% ±28 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 67% ±16 | 86% ±28 | 94% ±32 | 94% | 1h | 1.72% | 2.45% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 2.9455 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2.8301–2.8713 (-2.5%) | 3.7 | 2.9% | 20h | 2.0d ago · 86× | 30% ±19 | 62% ±16 | 21% ±13 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 5% ±4 | 30% ±19 | 44% ±37 | 59% ±56 | 6.2d | 2.45% | 1.51% | 131 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D VAL | 2.8507–2.8625 (-2.8%) | 4.1 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 97× | 17% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±13 | 33% ±28 | 45% ±44 | > 7d | 2.18% | 2.00% | 197 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.7347 (-7.2%) | 10 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 80× | 3% ±6 | 55% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±12 | 22% ±33 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.99% | 246 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2.9455 | 2.8568 | 2.9926 | stop | -1.90% |