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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-10-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,502 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0026), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.26 to 0.35) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3.1237 (+9.2%) | 11 | 1.4% | 9h | 5.0d ago · 37× | 4% ±6 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±17 | 25% ±35 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.83% | 272 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3.0476–3.0588 (+6.5%) | 7.9 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 78× | 7% ±8 | 44% ±18 | 4% ±7 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 18% ±20 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | 1.86% | 1.99% | 259 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2.9867–2.9923 (+4.4%) | 5.3 | 6.3% | 2.4d | 2.7d ago · 107× | 17% ±15 | 48% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±18 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±31 | 60% ±55 | 5.9d | 1.98% | 1.49% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 2.9723 (+3.9%) | 4.7 | 5.7% | 2.1d | 2.7d ago · 76× | 10% ±13 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±13 | 19% ±29 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.82% | 126 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2.9434–3.0516 (+2.9%) | 3.5 | 3.3% | 22h | 2.3d ago · 111× | 39% ±21 | 39% ±17 | 24% ±15 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±20 | 62% ±36 | 71% ±51 | 1.8d | 1.28% | 1.69% | 131 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2.9393 (+2.7%) | 3.3 | 2.9% | 19h | 6.8d ago · 83× | 32% ±29 | 48% ±23 | 19% ±18 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 32% ±28 | 60% ±48 | 76% ±59 | 2.1d | 2.74% | 1.38% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.8713 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 21.2d ago · 46× | 90% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 87% ±14 | 91% ±28 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| at post · 2.8609 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2.8415 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 3.2% | 24h | 2.6d ago · 80× | 77% ±29 | 55% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 44% ±14 | 78% ±27 | 89% ±36 | 93% | 8h | 2.57% | 1.99% | 52 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2.8609 | 2.9723 | 2.8024 | expired | -0.57% |