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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,502 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0026), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.26 to 0.35) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3.0798 (+27.1%) | 27 | 0.2% | 57m | 4.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±6 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 3% ±12 | 15% ±41 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.83% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 2.859 (+18.0%) | 18 | 3.1% | 1.5d | 18.9d ago · 65× | 1% ±6 | 52% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 12% ±29 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.04% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2.7534–2.907 (+13.6%) | 13 | 1.2% | 8h | 2.2d ago · 111× | 4% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 23% ±13 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 19% ±34 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.45% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 2.6178 (+8.0%) | 7.9 | 0.9% | 4h | 11.0d ago · 46× | 4% ±5 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±18 | 25% ±32 | > 7d | 1.72% | 2.45% | 282 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2.5151 (+3.8%) | 3.7 | 1.5% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 78× | 25% ±14 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 6% ±3 | 26% ±14 | 42% ±27 | 48% ±44 | > 7d | 1.93% | 1.71% | 230 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 2.4588 (+1.5%) | 1.5 | 2.4% | 14h | 2.6d ago · 107× | 68% ±22 | 44% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±17 | 33 | 40% ±9 | 68% ±22 | 80% ±32 | 89% ±44 | 8h | 1.78% | 1.98% | 104 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL | 2.4448–2.4463 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 2.4% | 11h | 2.6d ago · 76× | 77% ±24 | 50% ±24 | 12% ±15 | 38% ±23 | 17 | 64% ±11 | 77% ±24 | 87% ±33 | 88% ±45 | 2h | 1.85% | 1.74% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 2.4228 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2.348 (-3.1%) | 3.0 | 1.9% | 15h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 33% ±17 | 41% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 5% ±3 | 33% ±17 | 56% ±31 | 64% ±47 | 2.0d | 2.66% | 2.76% | 180 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.2718 (-6.2%) | 6.1 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 80× | 17% ±13 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 34% ±27 | 50% ±44 | > 7d | 2.61% | 2.03% | 209 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2.4228 | 2.2718 | 2.6178 | expired | -0.49% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 2.4228 | 2.3983 | 2.859 | expired | -0.49% |