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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-03 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAL · 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 5,968.66–6,219.97 (—) | 22 | 56.4% | 3.5d | 5.9d ago · 78× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| at post · 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 0 | 6,188.56 | 6,231.28 | stop | — |
| 14d | VAH | short | 0 | 6,188.56 | 6,253.9 | stop | — |
| 30d | VAH | short | 0 | 6,000.07 | 6,191.07 | stop | — |