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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,290.22 (+0.3%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 45m | 6.2d ago · 66× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 6,268.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,267.92 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.3% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 53× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,258.77–6,259.44 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 8h | 6.0d ago · 75× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,223.31 (-0.7%) | 3.4 | 3.5% | 6h | 8.0d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,164.42 (-1.7%) | 7.7 | 1.4% | 42m | 8.0d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,038.61 (-3.7%) | 17 | 1.3% | 2h | 7.2d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,268.85 | 6,313.46 | 6,259.44 | stop | -0.15% |